The Trojans have lost three of their first four games yet are still double-digit favorites against an unbeaten team? Oddsmakers are making a big mistake here, but we'll gladly take advantage of the inflated number and back the Sun Devils, who my simulations show winning 51 percent of the time. To be safe, take Arizona State to cover the big number, as my simulations also show that possibility cashing a much higher 67 percent of the time.

The Sun Devils have started 4-0 thanks in part to strong run defense and third-down defense. They still have questions defending the pass and inside the red zone. USC QB Sam Darnold will be starting his second straight game, so expect him to be more consistent. But the issue for the Trojans is they will have to win almost solely based on their passing game. Look for the Sun Devils to keep the Trojans reeling.