The pace will be dictated by the Johnnies, however the Wildcats are more than willing to score in an uptempo game. Villanova is 6-2 Over in its last eight away games, while Saint John's is 8-6 Over at home. Villanova has the ninth best offense in America and the best in the Big East. Saint John's is the fastest team in the league with almost everyone else, except Georgetown, playing very slow.

With just a 1/2 game lead over Marquette, the Wildcats will not let down. The Big East is just a two team league with Villanova and Marquette squarely better than everyone else in the conference.

I agree with the upward line move here and still like the Wildcats to cover. They've covered eight of their last nine Big East games. In my simulations, Villanova is covering at Madison Square Garden 58 percent of the time. Lay the points.