Texas is only 3-3 in Big 12 play this season but the record is a bit misleading. The three losses have come by a combined 11 points, with two of those losses coming to Texas Tech and Kansas. The Kansas loss was a two-point loss on the road. TCU has a similar story, but the Horned Frogs don't have a ton of depth on the roster right now and I expect Texas to make this game a grind.

How welcome is the substantial drop with this spread? Usually for a matchup in the hyper-competitive Big 12 in a virtual toss-up, the default pick is the home team. In this case, TCU is 7-1 ATS and straight-up on its court, whereas Texas is 1-4 ATS in its last five this season and in recent visits to TCU. F Kouat Noi, the Horned Frogs’ main scorer, is anticipated back after illness knocked him out of Saturday’s game. The Frogs are getting over the loss of G Jaylen Fisher (knee) after an adjustment period.