For the second time this season, Central Florida will host a smaller school as a 10-point favorite. Against Northern Kentucky, the Knights used a strong second-half run to pull away and cover. On Tuesday, they face a Georgia Southern team that was a smaller underdog against the Arizona Wildcats last week. Essentially, oddsmakers are expecting the third straight road game of Georgia Southern to be an issue. Instead, grab the value on Georgia Southern.

The backcourt duo of Aubrey Dawkins and B.J. Taylor have propelled Central Florida to a superb 7-2 start. In fact, the Knights' only two losses have been by one point (Florida Atlantic) and two (Mizzou). Central Florida's stifling defense has held opponents to under 60 points four times already this season. Not surprisingly, my trusty simulations show the Knights covering the spread nearly two-thirds of the time and winning comfortably by an average of 17 points. Back the Knights.