Texas A&M has dominated with size, but still has issues with its backcourt. Look for Michigan's plethora of depth at the guard position and offensive balance to offset the Aggies on Thursday. Grab Michigan.

You can look at Texas A&M's 86-65 win against North Carolina two ways -- the Aggies have momentum coupled with confidence, or the blowout win was an anomaly of who they really are. I have Michigan 5.5 points better, so that's the first thing I'm listening to. And then there's A&M being 2-5 against the spread prior to the NCAA Tournament, skating by Providence before the UNC game. The Wolverines have been on a steady rating rise during its current 11-game win streak (9-2 ATS) and they're cheap here. Michigan is the play.

My data sees 129 points scored between Texas A&M and Michigan in their Sweet 16 meeting Thursday. These two grinding clubs held their opponents to 128 points in the second round, and both prefer a deliberate half-court offense. The Under has hit in four straight NCAA Tournament games for Michigan, while Texas A&M is on a 5-1 Under spurt against Big 10 opponents.