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Expert Picks
The spread has climbed from two points to five in the wake of Arizona Coach Sean Miller's alleged involvement in the questionable recruitment process for center Deandre Ayton, a Player of the Year favorite. That movement is not enough. Coming on the eve of this matchup, the timing could hardly have been worse. At best, the Wildcats will be distracted. At worse, they could go into action without their boss and best player. Besides, the Ducks have covered in five of their last seven and are 14-3 straight-up at home.
I'm very surprised this line is so low. Oregon may be young but plays far better at home than on the road. The Ducks have also played their best basketball in February, covering five of their last seven games. For Arizona, throw out the records because it's playing without Allonzo Trier, who's worth 3.5 points to its power rating. Trier is the rare junior that has NBA talent, but he's still in school after testing positive for PEDs last year. Trier was the most consistent three-point threat on the team. Arizona beat Oregon State in overtime on Thursday, which sapped them of a lot of energy. Oregon wins this one by eight points.
Wildcats guard Allonzo Trier is suspended for this game and his value to Arizona's rating is worth three points and maybe even more. The guard shoots 54 percent from the field, 43 percent from downtown and hits 85 percent of his free-throws. That's amazing stuff! In addition to his 19.6 ppg, he also leads the team with 3.2 assists a game. Arizona was taken into overtime Thursday at Oregon State (+5) without him, but they covered in a 75-65 win. It was the Cats' third straight win and cover and fourth straight staying Under. Oregon had a rough Los Angeles trip last week losing both, but home is where they have thrived and they come off a 75-68 win Thursday against ASU. Oregon is 6-2 ATS in their last eight with the Under going 6-2 as well. It's a good spot for Oregon. Under is also a good play with both defenses playing well.