Illinois lost a lot of players and the new ones are still raw. They have struggled against upper-tier competition. This game is at the MGM, not UNLV's normal home, but I still give the Rebels four points for home court and I have UNLV five points better than Illinois. So htis spread provides value. UNLV is shooting 51 percent from the field and has held opponents to 38 percent. UNLV gets a double-digit win Saturday.