I love the Cyclones in this spot as 1-point dogs against a very questionable Purdue squad. My simulations have Iowa State winning outright in 56 percent of simulations. Take the free point.

Iowa State is getting a lot of attention in this one because of its current form and an outstanding performance in a first-round win over Nevada. But this adjustment has opened up some value on Purdue, which should be a bigger favorite. Behind likely national player of the year Caleb Swanigan and 7-2 center Isaac Hass, the Boilermakers have a big size advantage in this classic brawn versus finesse matchup. Hot perimeter shooting usually dries up at some point, and the Cyclones don’t have a lot of alternative options if they cool down.

It took some fouling at the end for the Iowa State-Nevada game to land 157, which middled the total as it went Over opening numbers and Under the closing mark of 157.5. This one shouldn’t be a sweat as both teams are efficient in their styles of play. The Boilermakers can dominate the inside, while Iowa State runs up and down for easy scores. Iowa State has gone Over 10 in a row, while Purdue has done the same in four of its last five.

We've got two of the better cover teams in the nation hooking up with Purdue 18-10-2 ATS and Iowa State 19-12 ATS. The Cyclones have won and covered their past four games in impressive fashion, but what really stands out with them is dictating the pace in every game. They've gone Over the total in 10 straight. Purdue seems to be content beating teams at whatever offensive style is thrown its way. Look for this to be a fantastic, fast-paced game to finish off Saturday's card, with it going Over the total.