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Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks!
Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks!
Understanding Public and Money
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Expert Picks
I've had the Cardinals in the top three in my power ratings all season and they have not disappointed, posting a 17-8 ATS record. Outside of Kentucky, this has to be Louisville's biggest game. North Carolina is coming of a great game versus Virginia, which could be the reason for the line movement on the Tar Heels. The Cardinals play better defense and have shown they can keep up in the scoring department.
Although I’ll rarely fade the powerful Tar Heels on their home floor, this steamed-up spread has officially hit the point where there’s no denying the value on the underdog. North Carolina and Louisville are both Final Four contenders and likely the two best teams in the ACC. The Cardinals make their living on the defensive end, and it’s difficult to pass up this many points on a Rick Pitino-coached team in a huge spot. Opening lines in the 5.5 range were accurate but, at the current number, I’ll help the books balance their spread sheets by backing Louisville.
How odd that the Under is on a roll behind the nation’s sixth-highest scoring team? Though the Tar Heels are operating at a dizzying 87-point pace and allowing an average of 71, the boys in blue have stayed below the total in 10 of 13 home dates. So let’s take advantage of this unusually modest figure with a visitor that averages nearly 78 points per game. The Cardinals have soared Over in two-thirds of their 24 outings. The 153 is easily surpassable.
Louisville has won six of seven entering Wednesday's huge game in Chapel Hill, N.C. While UNC is undefeated at home, this is too many points to give a Cardinals team that is shooting better from deep and plays with ferocious defensive intensity. Grab Louisville to at least keep it close.