Minnesota and Michigan are both riding win streaks and getting back to the middle of the pack, boosting their NCAA Tournament resumes. But the difference between the two streaks is the level of competition played. Minnesota was favored in its four-game win streak with home victories over Indiana and Iowa and on the road at Rutgers and Illinois. Michigan comes off a win against then-conference leading Wisconsin on Thursday, and beat Indiana and Michigan State in the two prior games. Michigan is 4 points better on a neutral court, and Minnesota's home court is not worth 5 points. Play Michigan.

Michigan comes in on a three-game win streak, and the Wolverines have won 13 of the past 14 meetings with Minnesota. In my simulations, the Wolverines are covering this one 67 percent of the time. Back the small road dog.