Yes, the Irish are tearing up the ACC, with five outright wins off the bat. This is the dreaded third road game in a row, and a bump in that road is likely. I remain on the Seminoles’ bandwagon despite a loss at North Carolina in which they were destroyed on the boards. They rebound better than Notre Dame and should control that phase. The ‘Noles get a second wind here toward the tail end of six straight games against ranked foes.

Notre Dame has won seven straight, including going 4-0-1 ATS in its last five. Since ACC play started, the Irish been checking off the list of victims, but what's most impressive is three of the wins were on the road, two as underdogs. FSU's rating has been raised too much. On a neutral court, I have ND two points better and FSU's home court against a better team shouldn't be worth more than three points. The spread should be no more than FSU -2. I'm on the points with the Irish.

Back the Fighting Irish, the only undefeated team in ACC play, despite the tough atmosphere they're going into. FSU has won 15 straight home games, but this is too many points to give a Notre Dame team that always closes strong. In my simulations, the Irish are covering 65 percent of the time. Grab the points.