My simulations show the high-powered Hoosiers as at least 10 points better than the Nittany Lions when they meet Wednesday in Big 10 action. Penn State has been a strong team ATS, particularly in home underdog spots, which includes a straight-up win over Michigan State. But its lack of firepower -- 12 points per game fewer than Indiana -- rates to be an issue against a Hoosiers team that is desperate to climb out of the 2-3 hole they have dug themselves in conference play. Back the chalk here.