St. Bonaventure missed the NCAA Tournament somehow last season, but the Bonnies have the look of a team that is going to push hard this year. Jaylen Adams and transfer Matt Mobley are both averaging more than 21 ppg and the team has a five-game win streak. Let's give the Bonnies three points for home court and make St. Bonaventure four points better on a neutral court. That's -7.5, which gives value to the home team. And while Wilmington has won seven of eight, it is 1-3 ATS in its last four, falling below its rating. Bonnies are the play.