On paper, one has to wonder why Dayton is a 7.5-point favorite. East Tennessee State not only has shown great scoring ability, but also turns teams over at a high rate. While Dayton may not be at its strength of two seasons ago, the Flyers still have a solid club. A smaller rotation on Dayton's side equals better balance in my opinion. The Bucs’ depth and lack of solidified rotation hurts them in this matchup. Grab the Flyers.