I sound like a broken record but this makes too much sense. If you are 6'9 playing 35+ minutes of basketball, you should get 4 rebounds. You just should. There should be plenty of long rebounds with the perimeter shooting of Dallas too. The Timberwolves know, and have made it clear, that rebounding needs to take more precedent to stay in this series. I expect McDaniels to make up for his rebounding the past two games.

Can't overthink this. Anthony Edwards has gone over this every single game this series, and by 2-3 assists in three of those games. Edwards is clocking in 40 minutes per game this series and I don't anticipate that changing. I think some better shooting from Conley and McDaniels can help this prop too.

I'm shocked this line is still 15.5 after Game 1. Derrick White had a relatively slow first half and still eclipsed this number. White had a bit of a rut in the middle of the Cavaliers series, and it feels like they are still setting lines for that Derrick White. Without those 3 games, he is 7-2 to the over in playoffs, and he is above 50% to this over on the road this season.

Shop around for a price on this. None the less, Jaden McDaniels is 6'9 playing 35+ minutes of basketball...he should be able to get 6 rebounds alone. He's gone over this in 3 of his last 4 games including Game 1 of this series. With Luka as his assignment, I expect these stats to build passively as such an important part of this team this series. Better shooting from Edwards and KAT wouldn't hurt either.

There's no reason to believe Naz Reid can't continue to hit this. He is 21-8 to this over when he plays 22-25 minutes and tallied 15 points in Game 1. Even with KAT on the floor, he still averages 12+ points on the season. And as far as playoffs themselves, Reid has hit this in 5 of his last 8.

It seems like TJ McConnell plans on keeping this up. He's put up 15+ points alone in 4 of his last 9 games, and his 8-3 to this over in his past 11. The Sportsline Model has some decent value on his assists at plus money at 5.3. I think he can keep his shooting volume up and give us five assists to cushion this play.

This line has caught recent steam. And I think we are due for a Derrick White game. White was a shot shy of this in Game 1 but I anticipate all of the role players to be part of a potential Boston blowout today. Other guards who average 16 points like White, find success against Pacers, averaging almost 19 points on their home court. The SL Model makes the number 17.5.

This is too dramatic. Luka Doncic had a hard time eclipsing this early against OKC as he nursed an injury. But he hit this over in the last 2 games of the series and comes into this game with three days of rest. He's had 10+ rebounds in his last five games and should be good for at least 8 assists with the ball in his hand majority of the game. While the shooting efficiency may not be there against this tough Minnesota defense, the sheer volume should get him over this number. Doncic is 72% to this over this season, and 71% on the road alone. Let's not look too deeply into one tough series against OKC.

Myles Turner is Evan Mobley here. Except even better, Boston's defense will be paying less attention to him than they did Mobley. And if Mobley was able to put up almost 20 points a game in that series, if not more, I think a confident Myles Turner can eclipse 15.5. He's gone over this number the last three games and five of the seven against the Knicks. The SL model has him projected for almost 18 points. With no Kristaps Porzingis in Game 1, this could be the time to buy in on Turner.

This line is available for a lot better prices if you shop around. I have to back the guys fighting for their lives tonight, and that means hitting the boards harder. KAT has followed up his poor rebounding games with double digit games throughout the series. History would tell us tonight he should get back on track. The SL model has him projected for 8 rebounds, and I expect four quarters of effort will get us there tonight.

Either game script leads me to believe this can hit. Anthony Edwards will have to show up big for Minnesota if they want a shot at this game, or he will be playing from behind and want to put up threes. The shot volume has been there the past three games: 8, 8, and 5 three-point attempts, and he's gone over this total in 3 of the 4 games. The urgency of this game should allow us to see similar volume again.

OKC as a team will shoot better from deep. This is one of the best 3-point shooting teams of the regular season who had an off night. Chet Holmgren was 1/6 from deep in Game 2 and I expect one more to fall today. The shot volume is there and he as historic success hitting this over against Dallas, and also went over this in Game 1. This is worth a play at even money.

This has to be the turnaround game for Aaron Nesmith. He only put up a 9 PRA in Game 2, but does average 20.9 against the Knicks on the season. In Round 1 he showed that he bounced back from poor games (10 PRA turned to 19, 14 turned to 23.) He had plenty of open missed shots in Game 2, and i expect him to remain an after thought for the Knicks defense. I also expect the entire Pacers squad to show more effort on the boards as they have been out-rebounded by double digits this series.

This is nothing Aaron Nesmith isn't capable of against the Knicks. The over is 7-0 vs New York, averaging 16.6 points. Nesmith comes into this game 4-1 to the over playing major minutes, with only Obi Toppin coming off the bench. We just need him to play 30+ minutes before fouling out.

Luka Doncic can have a great game without 10 rebounds. When players like Luka deal with injuries, it shows up the most on the boards. I think Luka will save his energy for his scoring and pick his battles here. That's why you bring in guys like Dereck Lively and Daniel Gafford. In the last 2 games of Round 1, he only had 7 rebounds each. And may I add they could be considered "must win" games. Luka will have a few different fish to fry, and I don't think rebounds will be the biggest concern.