There’s some better odds out there for this one. When Jayson Tatum’s PRA line is set at 42, he’s gone over this number once this postseason, 43 against Miami in game one. This season, he’s played the Cavaliers five times and has failed to go over 42 PRA in all five. Tatum has not gone over his PRA, when set at 42, in six of his last eight road games which include five straight.

This number seems a little inflated. However, New York is shorthanded. Josh Hart has played 41 minutes, or more, in every game this postseason. Now, with OG Anunoby out, he definitely isn’t coming out, unless he’s in foul trouble. With his PRA set at 36, Hart has gone over that number in five out of the eight playoff games thus far. Also, when he’s played 44 minutes, or more, his PRA has gone over 36 in five of the last six games.

Donte DiVincenzo has logged 43 minutes, or more, in the three straight. He’ll see 40+ minutes, now with OG Anunoby out for the next two games most likely. Indiana has allowed the 6th most points to shooting guards and DiVincenzo had scored 21, or more, points in three out of the five meetings against the Pacers. This season, when playing 40+ minutes, he’s had 21 points, or more, in 10 of his last 13 games.

Luka Doncic doesn’t seem right at the moment. He’s gone under his PRA in nine of his last 15 games when the line is set at 50.5. In the playoffs, his gone under, 50 PRA, in six of eight. Doncic shot 6/19 from the floor and had the worst +/- out of anyone in game one. He should have some positive regression in regard to scoring, but he isn’t 100% healthy. Oklahoma City is healthy with plenty of young above average on-ball defenders to continue throwing him off his game.

Donte DiVincenzo has seen an increase in minutes. He’s logged 43, or more, minutes in the last two games and should continue to see 40+ minutes, especially with Mitchell Robinson out for the remainder of the season. Indiana has allowed the 6th most points to shooting guards and DiVincenzo had scored 20, or more, points in three out of the four meetings against the Pacers. This season, when playing 40+ minutes, he’s had 17, or more, points in 10 of his last 12 games.

Luka went over this number early in the season against the Thunder. Their most recent game, in February, he went under 50. With his PRA set at 52, Doncic went over this number three times in his last eight games and once in his last five. Oklahoma City’s head coach, Mark Daigneault, will have Lu Dort on him all series with hopes to slow him down. Dort is an above average on-ball defender and with a great young defense behind him.

Indiana won two out of three games in the regular season. Donte Divincenzo averaged 24 points per game in those three games, shooting 36.1% from beyond the arc. Besides, Jalen Brunson, the Knicks have struggled offensively, at times. If Indiana doubles Brunson, others will be required to step up. Divincenzo had two solid shooting games in the six games against the Sixers and should see some positive regression in his scoring this series.

Miami lost their best hitter in Luis Arraez to the Padres. They’re struggling offensively, hitting .216 with a .597 OPS on the road this season. They also have a very low walk rate against righties. Jake Boyle has good velocity on his fastball and is backed by an offense hitting .294 with a .959 OPS over the last seven days.

Cleveland’s Jarrett Allen is listed as questionable tonight. The Cavaliers are 8-15 SU as away underdogs, losing by an average of 7.48 points and have lost their last seven as dogs as well. They’ve lost down games in Orlando by 30.5 points while also doing under their team total in both contests. The Magic are 21-6 ATS as home favorites this season. This is a zig-zag theory type of series with home court meaning everything.

Milwaukee’s Giannis and Lillard are listed as game-time decisions. There’s still a good chance both remain out tonight and hope their team can pull the upset to force a game seven at home. However, the Pacers were just held to under 95-points for only the second time this season. This season at home, Indiana has only been held to under 111-points eight times in 43 games. In game one, they scored 94-points then came back in game two with 125-points and will be more motivated to possibly close out the series tonight at home, where they average 125.4-points.

Luis Castillo is off back-to-back solid outings. However, he has been giving up a lot of sharp contact and allowed two homeruns in his last outing. Now, he faces the best team against righties thus far in Atlanta, hitting .273 with a .782 OPS. Castillo has yet to win at home this season while owning a 5.40 ERA. The Mariners have struggled offensively at home, hitting .198 with a .620 OPS.

This is Jordan Montgomery’s first home start for Arizona. He comes off a decent outing against the Cardinals, seven innings, allowing seven hits and three earned runs. Montgomery now faces Los Angeles, who has been hitting .281 with a 767 OPS against lefties thus far. The Dodgers are also currently the top hitting team in baseball on the road, batting .286 with a .804 OPS.

Orlando failed to score 90-points in both road games. They’ve only averaging 84.5 points on the road thus far. The total is also another very low total. The Magic have shot 23.6% from beyond the arc combined in Cleveland and while there might be some positive regression, they've struggled rebounding the basketball on the road.

The Thunder are 3-0 SU and ATS this season in New Orleans. Without Zion Williamson, Brandon Ingram has been expected to step up, but he’s been averaging 16.3 points without him and has been kept in check by Lu Dort, averaging 16.3 points. The Thunder are one of the best teams in the league defending the perimeter and Oklahoma City, as a whole, is just the better team. The Pelicans have been outscored by 31-points since game one and don’t look as in sync as Oklahoma City.

Tampa Bay has lost seven of its last 10 games. The Brewers have also dropped their last two, but currently own the second-best average against righties, hitting .274 at home with a .795 OPS. Tampa Bay is hitting .244 with a .672 OPS this season, but their bullpen has really struggled, owning the 4th worst bullpen ERA thus far. The Brewers just allowed a 30 runs to New York over their last two games but are still the better team in this matchup.