Zack's Past Picks
Each superstar in the postseason is going to have an extra tax to their props. For the Boston Celtics star Jayson Tatum has not looked like himself. Through seven postseason games he is shooting under forty percent. Look for Tatum to adjust his game with the Celtics needing him to step up on the road in game three. Double digit made free throws along with a combination of field goals will get him past his points prop. Take Tatum’s over to hit for the first time this postseason.
Postseason patterns have been apart of the Boston Celtics playoff runs for years. Game two has been an issue thus far in both postseason series, but look for Boston to turn it up a notch in game three. From an offensive stand point expect a night and day difference from game two. The Cavaliers may be in the second round but they are extremely vulnerable as witnessed in three losses to the Magic, and game one to the Celtics. Lay it with Boston.
The Cincinnati Reds took game one over the San Francisco Giants as underdogs. Now the pendulum has swung in the market as big road favorites over the Giants. San Francisco’s starting pitcher in Mason Black struggled in his first start against the Phillies, surrendering five runs with three walks. Expect the Reds to build their first winning streak in five series. Take the Reds over the Giants
For the second time in the postseason Shai Gilgeous Alexander eclipsed over thirty points in game two’s loss. Expect SGA to be even more aggressive with the Thunder needing to regain the home court edge back. With a handful of trips to the free throw line and over twenty field goal attempts, take SGA’s points over.
Jamal Murray has been in the spotlight in Denver’s second round series against the Timberwolves for all the wrong reasons. Poor play overall has led to the belief that he is still hurting with his calf. He also had the incident that resulted in a $100,000 fine. Yet, with three days off in between game two look for Murray to step up in a big way. Take his over.
Denver heads to Minnesota for game three in a heap of trouble. They were blown out at home in game two, and now find themselves attempting the impossible. This series is likely going to go the Timberwolves way, but I look for the defending champs to put together a better effort tonight. With three days off since game two, take the points with Denver.
On the season the St. Louis Cardinals are 0-4 against the Milwaukee Brewers. This includes losing yesterday as road favorites with Sonny Gray on the mound. Tonight, look for the Cardinals to finally break through as they will see a rookie pitcher for the Brewers in Robert Gasser. Take St. Louis to end their five game losing streak.
Surprisingly, the Chicago White Sox have been playing above .500 baseball over their last thirteen games with a 7-6 record. Today they find themselves as the home favorite over division leader in the Cleveland Guardians. Look for Garrett Crochet to build off his second win of the season, and minimize damage against a Guardians team that went scoreless yesterday.
One of the biggest beneficiaries of the Knicks being without OG Anunoby figures to be Pascal Siakam. He should be able to move more freely off the dribble, and use his length to score. Siakam has scored below twenty points in six straight postseason games. With the Pacers down two games to the Knicks look for Siakam to leave it all on the floor.
In game one Nembhard had his moments but played a postseason low twenty nine minutes. That’s more in line with his regular season average, and I expect Rick Carlisle to continue to utilize his bench depth. That is a one sided advantage to the Pacers with how thin the Knicks are. Look for Nembhard’s postseason scoring average which is four points higher than the regular season to taper off tonight. Take his under
A very low total is offered today between the Cubs and Padres. Both pitchers have exceptional ERA’s in Dylan Cease whose road ERA is 1.75. For the Cubs Hayden Wesneski is coming off a six inning gem against the Brewers without allowing a run. When Wesneski entered this territory of innings pitched last year, he struggled to perform. Take the over on runs here.
After a full week off the Oklahoma City Thunder’s offense may have issues against an improved Dallas Mavericks defense. One player that I do not expect to suffer is Jalen Williams. He has an arsenal of moves that are going to give this Mavericks team problems game to game. He quietly averaged 21 in their last series against the Pelicans, and I expect that to be boosted in round two. Take his game one over.
Throughout the Celtics postseason runs over the years, Al Horford has been one of my top postseason prop players. Four to 5 games in the postseason I’ll attack, and here in game one figures to be a good spot. You have the Cleveland Cavaliers off a quick turn around from their game seven Sunday win. Their defense may be a step slow on the non main option Celtics players. Horford also needs to relish his old role postseason role with Porzingis hurt. Take his over.
Tuesday, the Guardians will aim to take game two over the Detroit Tigers after yesterday 2-1 victory. On the mound, Logan Allen will see a divisional opponent for just the second time this season. Look for Allen to minimize the Tigers lineup from a big inning of scoring, and for the Guardians to secure their fourth straight win. Take the Guardians.
Denver is going to have their difficulties against the Minnesota Timberwolves, but game two I believe goes there way convincingly. For as mediocre as Denver played in game one, they still had the lead for stages and had a chance to win late. Expect Denver to have better team balance and get more shots for Aaron Gordon, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, and their star guard Jamal Murray. Play the Nuggets on the spread.