Tijuan Walker is very much a work in progress in his return from a lengthy absence. And while I generally just hammer the Marlins on the run line every once in a while the Fish get frisky. So for this value I will just take the mighty Phils, on pace for potentially baseball's best record, to find a way to win this ballgame with their superior, well, everything.

We have dealt with two bad beats in the totals in this series already, and should have just stayed on the game total. OKC defensive intensity waned in Game 2, plenty of pace to this series, plenty of shot-taking. Very quick turnaround here with travel, so I expect that to show up on the defensive side. Gafford's beat up hand could be an issue. Thunder will shoot better from range than they did Friday - when they got plenty of open looks. Mavs scored 120 last game and Kyrie barely shot the ball. Potential for this game to be played over 240.

Simeon Woods RIchardson was the key piece in the Berrios trade and he has been stellar this season. I like him getting a piece of his old franchise here, and doing so at a time when the Jays aren't hitting the ball or playing with much fire. The Twins proved me wrong; I thought they would regress hard after winning 12 in a row vs mostly crap teams, but they have found their groove and the lineup is exponentially better than what it was three weeks ago. I think they kid can match Gausman and the Twins can win vs TOR pen